Autres scénarios

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Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development

The Rockefeller Foundation, a philantropic organisation, together with The Global Business Network published a report which features four very different—yet very plausible—visions of how technology could profoundly alter how we address some of the most pressing challenges in the developing world.

Read more on the Rockefeller Foundation website

Focus topic "Germany 2020" 

Deutsche Bank Research, a think tank for trends in business, society and the financial markets, has developed four scenarios for "Germany 2020". "Expedition Deutschland", the most plausible scenario, is charcterized by a strong "project economy", open innovation, flourishing knowledge markets, increased co-regulation and the emergence of a new middle class. Intellectual
property has become a commonly used asset class, and intellectual capital has swung into the focus of company valuations. 

Read more on the Deutsche Bank Research website  

Problems with the current Intellectual Pseudo "Property" (IPP) System, specifically with Patents

Foresight Institute Spring 2000 Senior Associate Gathering preparatory document

The document contains an outline of some of the problems and the spectrum of positions taken by various parties at that time (spring 2000). An attempt was made to extrapolate into the future in four scenarios, to see what the world might look like under different patent regimes, ranging from no patents at all to much more severe restrictions than in 2000. These scenarios, if accurate in their implications, could have helped define which future might be desireable and acceptable to live in, which would hopefully have encouraged the taking of appropriate steps towards implementing and shaping the corresponding legal landscape

People, places, procedures and products - IP examination in 2030

New office technologies of today offer planner for future intellectual property offices wide opportunities to improve procedures under which their offices will operate, the places where their employees may reside, the people who may choose to be their employees and the intellectual property products that they offer the public. In this article, Jay Lucas, of the USPTO, and John Bambridge, of the EPO, visit this world, dropping in on a few members of the IP community of the future. 

Read their view of IP examination in 2030.  

Gowers Review of Intellectual Property

In December 2005, Andrew Gowers, former editor of the Financial Times, was asked to conduct a review of the intellectual property system in the United Kingdom to establish whether the current system was fit for the challenges of the future - including globalisation, digitisation and increasing economic specialisation. His findings and recommendations were published as the Gowers Review of Intellectual Property in December 2006.

Read more about the Gowers Review on the UK Treasury website.  

Quel système de propriété intellectuelle pour la France d’ici 2020 ?

A report on the future of the intellectual property system in France was published in 2006 by the working group "Prospective de la Propriété Intellectuelle pour l’ÉTAt stratège" or PIÉTA under the Commissariat général du Plan (now called Centre d’analyse stratégique), which is part of the Prime Minister's cabinet. The report looks at the IP system up to the year 2020.

Read the report (PDF).

World Economic Forum scenarios

Intended as a tool to initiate international dialogue and action, the World Economic Forum has put together a set of scenarios looking at different regions of the world up to 2025 and "technology and innovation in financial services" to 2020.

Read more on the WEF website. 

The way to work: Space, place and technology in 2016

Orange Future Enterprise coalition report argues that businesses must prioritise managing intellectual property and flexibility of its employees to control organisational change in the face of forces of rapid change, low predictability and high risk. Four potential scenarios for the future are presented.

Download the report in PDF format.

The DCDC Global Strategic Trends Programme 2007-2036

The Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC), a Directorate General within the UK’s Ministry of Defence presents its Strategic Trends programme, including a key theme of Knowledge and Innovation.

Strategic Trends Programme website

Our Stake in Cyberspace. The Future of the Internet and Communication As We Know It

A 2002 report by NetAction, a California-based nonprofit organization dedicated to promoting use of the Internet as well as to educating the public, policy makers, and the media about technology policy issues. The report uses four scenarios to explore the future of the Internet and communication.

Access the report in different formats.

Future of Intellectual Property

Scenarios about the future of the information society online developed in 2006 by post graduate MBA students as part of Daniel Erasmus's (fellow of the Rotterdam School of Management) classes on scenario thinking.

Read the students' ideas.